Contrary to what you may find obvious, your chances of being
successful at stock investing will actually diminish if you choose to work in
the financial industry, especially if you begin your career there. This is
because you will be so overwhelmed with the barrage of stock-investing “wisdom”
that you may decide never to buy stocks, at least directly. Little of this
wisdom is actually useful.
With stock investing, there is just one rule you need:
Ignore almost everything. The financial community tries really hard to make
itself useful, but in this pursuit all it does is add to the unfathomable
pandemonium. And while it adds to the preexisting intricacy, it also overlooks
the simplest things. An analyst may care more about the internal rate of return
(they call it IRR, yawn!) than what is obvious. He will take great pride in
digging out some obscure aspect of some company rather than pick what is there
in front of him. An analyst is someone who, when he sees a dog growling and
ready to pounce at him, takes out his digital device and studies the data to find
the probability of being bitten by an angry dog.
Those who start their careers in the financial sector will
have their blank mental templates all written with traditional (and
ineffective) rules of finance. Unless they challenge what they are learning
free of cost with some “non-mainstream” stuff, they will eventually find
themselves speaking the traditional language of finance. With traditional
wisdom, you can’t expect great outcomes.
So, what’s the message? I am not saying that you leave your
jobs at the financial industry. What I am saying is that your chances of
success at stock investing will be better if you keep it simple and sensible.
You don’t need the analyst. You don’t need the advisor. The fewer chefs you
have the better your broth will be. For those who are already working in the
financial industry, expose yourself to disconfirming and conflicting knowledge
and wisdom. You will do well by challenging what you already know and adopting
newer ways of thinking.
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